Sarnia

Bill 148 & Increased Minimum Wage

By Suzanne Armstrong

July 13, 2017

Bill 148, a significant labour bill called “The Fair Workplaces, Better Jobs Act 2017,” includes a

number of proposed changes to Ontario’s labour laws. Arguably most controversial among them

is a proposed sharp increase to minimum wage, pushing it from the current $11.40/hour to

$15/hour by Jan. 1, 2019. The biggest jump would be from $11.60/hour to $14.00/hour at the start

of the year in 2018. That single increase represents a jump of over 20%. It is this sudden

increase that is most alarming for many farming businesses, and it should be of concern to low

wage earners as well.

In January 2014, the government’s Minimum Wage Advisory Panel released its report after

significant consultations and review of the literature on the issue of minimum wage. In it, Chair

Anil Verma noted that “there was near universal agreement on making the process of revising

minimum wages transparent, predictable, fair, and less ‘political.’” Subsequent to this report, the

government established a formula for increases to the minimum wage based on the Consumer

Price Index (CPI).

While the push to a higher minimum wage seeks to address social issues among vulnerable

workers, this new proposal creates a lose-lose situation because large wage hikes have negative

impacts both for business owners and for low wage earners. The same Advisory Panel Report

notes that academic research in Canada shows that the negative impacts on employment from

minimum wage increases “were substantially larger when they involved a large minimum wage

increase compared to a cumulative series of smaller increases.” This means a sudden jump in

minimum wage is likely to result in job losses and reduced new job opportunities. It may also

result in reduced hours of work or greater precarious employment, both issues that the

government in fact seeks to reduce.

For those sectors that must compete internationally for the price of their goods, nationally and

internationally uncompetitive wage rates make it harder for businesses in Ontario to thrive. These

sectors cannot easily pass their increased costs onto consumers. Ontario’s fruit and vegetable

farmers, for example, have to offer locally competitive wages, but they also have to compete with

the global price when selling their products. The horticulture sector is highly reliant on farm

workers, with labour forming up to half of its business costs. Small and medium farm businesses

will feel this pinch most acutely. In the long-term, uncompetitive wage costs will push labour-

intensive primary production and food processing industries to leave Ontario, which will

negatively impact our economy and our access to local food.

The CFFO is working with other farm organizations to bring these concerns to the government’s

attention. The CFFO recognizes the importance of a livable wage and believes that work should

be economically valued to encourage greater dignity and participation in the workforce. Our

concern is that the economic impact of a sudden change to an uncompetitive minimum wage is

likely to negatively impact both Ontario workers and Ontario businesses.

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Suzanne Armstrong is Director of Research and Policy for the Christian Farmers Federation of

Ontario. The CFFO Commentary represents the opinions of the writer and does not necessarily

represent CFFO policy. The CFFO Commentary is heard weekly on CFCO Chatham, CKXFM

Chatham, CKNX Wingham, and UCB Canada radio stations in Chatham, Belleville, Bancroft,

Brockville and Kingston. It is also archived on the CFFO website, www.christianfarmers.org.

CFFO is supported by 4,000 family farmers across Ontario.

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